Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.8%
Thun
18.3%
Draw
13.0%
Holker Old Boys
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Thun
vs
1.18
Holker Old Boys
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.574.8%
Over 3.554.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-0
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
4-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).