Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.3%
Chesterfield
21.5%
Draw
22.2%
Torquay
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Chesterfield
vs
1.36
Torquay
Markets
BTTS66.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.587.9%
Over 2.569.4%
Over 3.548.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.3%
1-1
9.1%
3-1
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
1-0
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-1
3.8%
0-0
3.5%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).