⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 10CSV

06 Jan 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
15.3%
Wurzburger Kickers
23.1%
Draw
61.6%
St Pauli

Expected Goals (xG)

0.89

Wurzburger Kickers

vs
1.97

St Pauli

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
11.1%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.3%
0-0
6.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
4.5%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
4.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).