Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.3%
Sochi
28.8%
Draw
43.9%
Rostov
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Sochi
vs
1.48
Rostov
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
0-3
4.0%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).