Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.7%
Hamburg
29.6%
Draw
25.7%
Werder Bremen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Hamburg
vs
0.96
Werder Bremen
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
9.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).