Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Milan
26.9%
Draw
43.9%
Inter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Milan
vs
1.34
Inter
Markets
BTTS47.5%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).