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04 Dec 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.3%
Crowborough Athletic
24.9%
Draw
54.8%
Real Madrid

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

Crowborough Athletic

vs
1.66

Real Madrid

Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).