Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.1%
Sassuolo
22.5%
Draw
21.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Sassuolo
vs
1.04
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS54.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.532.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
3.1%
0-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).