Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Alaves
22.0%
Draw
10.6%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Alaves
vs
0.52
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS33.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.539.3%
Over 3.519.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.3%
2-0
15.8%
0-0
10.4%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-0
4.0%
1-2
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
4-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).