Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.0%
Ingolstadt
21.2%
Draw
66.8%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Ingolstadt
vs
2.09
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
10.9%
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-3
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
0-4
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
1-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).