Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.6%
Brescia
32.1%
Draw
31.3%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Brescia
vs
1.03
Chievo
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.1%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).