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04 Apr 2026 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.4%
FC Koln
24.2%
Draw
21.4%
Sønderjyske Fodbold

Expected Goals (xG)

1.87

FC Koln

vs
1.11

Sønderjyske Fodbold

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).