Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.1%
Aris
14.4%
Draw
10.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Aris
vs
0.87
Lorient
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
8.0%
1-1
6.6%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
5-0
3.1%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).