Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Holstein Kiel
27.8%
Draw
20.2%
Wehen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Holstein Kiel
vs
0.89
Wehen
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-0
10.5%
0-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).