Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Spezia
29.6%
Draw
26.5%
Vicenza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Spezia
vs
1.02
Vicenza
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.0%
Over 3.522.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).