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15 Mar 2026 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.6%
Vålerenga
22.5%
Draw
38.9%
Sandefjord

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Vålerenga

vs
1.70

Sandefjord

Markets

BTTS66.5%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
0-2
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).