Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Deportivo Alavés
30.5%
Draw
31.3%
Valencia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Deportivo Alavés
vs
0.98
Valencia
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.534.9%
Over 3.516.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).