Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Luton
32.4%
Draw
31.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Luton
vs
0.98
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.5%
Over 2.533.4%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-0
12.8%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).