Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.5%
Oxford City
14.4%
Draw
79.1%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
0.68
Oxford City
vs
2.68
Barnet
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.5%
0-3
11.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
7.5%
1-1
6.9%
1-4
5.1%
0-0
4.0%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-5
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).