Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.3%
Caen
24.5%
Draw
41.2%
Clermont
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Caen
vs
1.35
Clermont
Markets
BTTS50.8%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
0-1
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).