Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Brentford
29.4%
Draw
25.4%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Brentford
vs
0.97
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).