Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Cartagena
26.4%
Draw
39.9%
Mirandes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Cartagena
vs
1.34
Mirandes
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).