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AHT: 21CSV

17 May 2025 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.5%
RB Leipzig
24.2%
Draw
36.3%
Stuttgart

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

RB Leipzig

vs
1.64

Stuttgart

Markets

BTTS66.9%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.3%
Over 3.543.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-1
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).