Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Almeria
25.0%
Draw
31.3%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Almeria
vs
1.24
Espanol
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).