Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.9%
Everton
20.7%
Draw
7.4%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Everton
vs
0.53
Leicester
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.8%
1-0
14.3%
3-0
10.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.0%
0-1
2.9%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).