Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.5%
Granada
30.1%
Draw
32.4%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Granada
vs
0.97
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.560.5%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).