Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.3%
Notts County
10.6%
Draw
4.1%
Wealdstone
Expected Goals (xG)
3.10
Notts County
vs
0.62
Wealdstone
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
4-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
7.2%
5-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
1-1
5.0%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
2.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).