Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.1%
Maidstone
14.6%
Draw
76.3%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Maidstone
vs
2.89
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS58.8%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.573.9%
Over 3.553.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
8.9%
0-3
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
1-1
6.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-4
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
4.0%
0-5
3.6%
1-5
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).