Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.6%
Barnsley
19.9%
Draw
37.5%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.96
Barnsley
vs
1.83
Reading
Markets
BTTS71.4%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.588.4%
Over 2.572.8%
Over 3.552.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.0%
1-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
0-1
4.8%
3-2
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).