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24 May 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.5%
Zenit
20.1%
Draw
6.4%
Akhmat Grozny

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Zenit

vs
0.46

Akhmat Grozny

Markets

BTTS32.9%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
17.1%
1-0
16.0%
3-0
11.5%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
4-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
2.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).