Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Avellino
26.5%
Draw
33.2%
Pescara
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Avellino
vs
1.42
Pescara
Markets
BTTS61.2%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.0%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-3
3.7%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).