Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Everton
28.2%
Draw
19.8%
Tottenham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Everton
vs
0.92
Tottenham
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).