Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.5%
Schalke 04
27.7%
Draw
48.8%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Schalke 04
vs
1.50
Mainz
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.6%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).