Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.0%
Basford United
14.7%
Draw
10.2%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Basford United
vs
0.86
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS53.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.3%
Over 3.545.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
6.8%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
5-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).