Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Barrow
25.7%
Draw
43.1%
Fleetwood Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Barrow
vs
1.38
Fleetwood Town
Markets
BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).