Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Weymouth
28.4%
Draw
28.6%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Weymouth
vs
1.12
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).