Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.2%
Aris
16.3%
Draw
7.6%
Auxerre
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Aris
vs
0.49
Auxerre
Markets
BTTS33.5%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.6%
1-0
16.0%
3-0
11.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
3.0%
5-0
2.7%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).