Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.1%
Bielefeld
20.6%
Draw
17.3%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
2.32
Bielefeld
vs
1.17
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
3-0
6.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.3%
0-0
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).