Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Gil Vicente
24.3%
Draw
18.8%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Gil Vicente
vs
0.94
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.1%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).