Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Frosinone
28.9%
Draw
29.1%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Frosinone
vs
1.14
Lecce
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
7.8%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).