Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.4%
Middlesbrough
15.7%
Draw
5.8%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.41
Middlesbrough
vs
0.54
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.2%
3-0
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
4-1
4.0%
5-0
3.6%
0-1
2.2%
2-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).