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02 Feb 2026 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
Zagreb
17.3%
Draw
9.9%
Vukovar

Expected Goals (xG)

2.59

Zagreb

vs
0.90

Vukovar

Markets

BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
1-0
7.1%
4-0
5.7%
4-1
5.1%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
3.9%
3-2
3.6%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).