Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Vizela
27.8%
Draw
34.5%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Vizela
vs
1.07
Farense
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
0-1
12.3%
0-0
10.3%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
3-0
2.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).