Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →0.7%
Plymouth
1.7%
Draw
97.6%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Plymouth
vs
5.92
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.599.9%
Over 1.598.9%
Over 2.596.0%
Over 3.589.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-5
8.3%
0-4
7.0%
1-5
5.9%
1-4
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
3.4%
0-2
2.4%
2-5
2.1%
2-4
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
0-1
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).