Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.4%
Stoke
24.0%
Draw
10.6%
Sheffield Wednesday
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Stoke
vs
0.57
Sheffield Wednesday
Markets
BTTS36.6%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.4%
2-0
15.1%
0-0
10.7%
1-1
10.6%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
4.7%
4-0
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-2
2.4%
4-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).