Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.1%
Bournemouth
31.0%
Draw
31.9%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Bournemouth
vs
1.16
Everton
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
10.7%
1-0
9.4%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).