⚽ FootballData
1 – 1
DHT: 01CSV

18 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
57.7%
Dunfermline
25.1%
Draw
17.3%
Airdrie Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.72

Dunfermline

vs
0.84

Airdrie Utd

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).