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06 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.7%
Hibernian
20.1%
Draw
10.3%
St Mirren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

Hibernian

vs
0.67

St Mirren

Markets

BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.8%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.0%
0-1
3.7%
4-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).