Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Mantova
25.8%
Draw
51.4%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Mantova
vs
1.75
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.8%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).