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19 Sept 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Huesca
27.1%
Draw
26.5%
Fuenlabrada

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Huesca

vs
0.96

Fuenlabrada

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.4%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
9.5%
0-1
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-0
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).